By David Aronson
Evidence-Based Technical Analysis examines how one can practice the clinical procedure, and lately built statistical exams, to figure out the genuine effectiveness of technical buying and selling signs. in the course of the e-book, specialist David Aronson will give you entire assurance of this new technique, that is in particular designed for comparing the functionality of rules/signals which are came upon by means of info mining.
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Extra info for Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals
Bear raiders are not content merely to condition markets. They also try to ruin businesses as going concerns. Bear raiders will try to get customers and counterparties to flee from troubled issuers, as was the case for Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers Holdings. The bear raiders also will exert as much pressure as they can on rating agencies and regulatory authorities to drive companies out of business. , the bear raiders attempted to convince the Securities and Exchange Commission that MBIA should be prohibited from publicly marketing new securities issues; attempted to convince the New York State Insurance Department that MBIA was insolvent; and attempted to convince (apparently with some success) the rating agencies—Moody’s Investors Service, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch Ratings—that MBIA and Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
Companies that were too small to tap the bond market became the users of mezzanine debt. Mezzanine debt issues are much smaller and are almost always privately placed, highly illiquid, and bought with the expectation of being held to maturity. Like junk bonds, mezzanine paper is unsecured and virtually always subordinated in right of payment to bank loans and other senior debt. Two other phenomena occurred during the levering-up decade: the substitution of junk bond debt for bank lending, and the easing of credit underwriting standards.
For prosperous, expanding businesses, increased earning power permits the company to carry increasing amounts of debt. The 2007–2008 financial meltdown brought this corporate ability to refinance old debt or to incur new debt to a screeching halt. The capital markets froze up. Thus almost any company needing relatively continuous access to capital markets, even ones only seeking to refinance, found itself in deep trouble. This included good companies as well as less well-managed companies. 8. , short sellers), who probably have never been as powerful as they are now, even compared with the pre-1929 era.