By Mitch Zacks
Wall road spends over $1 billion a 12 months studying shares. Too undesirable a lot of that evaluation is rubbish, says writer Zacks. He should still comprehend: he is v-p of the revered enterprise Zacks funding examine, and he is witnessed how the comfortable dating among businesses and their funding bankers have corrupted making an investment through the years. Now he is pop out with not just a denunciation of sketchy analysts, yet a instruction manual for person traders for recognizing profitable shares all alone. (A trace: it is all in regards to the gains estimates; businesses whose projected gains are being revised upwards are those to wager on.) Zacks's prose is crisp and fast, and he tackles tough topics with dispatch. occasionally the booklet veers into an commercial for the company and its website, however the trove of clear-headed industry knowledge is easily well worth the occasional self-promotion.Copyright 2003 Reed company info, Inc.
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Extra resources for Ahead of the Market: The Zacks Method for Spotting Stocks Early - In Any Economy
So, the fact that analysts do not issue sell recommendations, although only recently publicized in the media, is in reality nothing new. In fact, the percentage of sell recommendations has been under 8% for the past decade. Figure 2-1 shows the distribution of analysts’ recommendations over the past twelve years. As of the later half of 2002, under tremendous regulatory pressure, the number of sell recommendations has been steadily increasing, back to levels not seen since the early 1990s. According to Zacks data, as of October 20, 2002, the number of sell recommendations is at the highest level it has been in several years, hovering above 8%.
Recommendations are always relative to the other stocks that an analyst is covering. The analyst’s recommendation is supposed to be what the entire research report leads up to. ” Is It Useful? As I explained in the last chapter, the advice contained in the recommendation is almost always biased. So taking the recommendation at face value is akin to believing that your neighbor really did catch a two-foot long whitefish on Lake Okanawa during his vacation. The upshot? Despite the attention they receive in the media— “John Q.
They are always looking for sound bites and they don’t delve too deeply. Ned: So, in order to generate investment banking fees, I need to develop a reputation as an industry expert. Miller: Yes. And, Ned, one last thing, whatever you do, do not upset Intel’s management. Our lifeblood depends on establishing a relationship with them. If they become mad at us, not only will they not use us in the future when they need to raise money, but we will likely not see any advisory fees from acquisitions that they engage in, and a follow-up equity or debt offering is also out the window.